Somalia: toxic elite politics and the need for cautious external mediation
THECONVERSATION.COM
The international community is opposed to Farmaajo's term extension because of fears that it's a power grab consistent with political trends elsewhere in the region.
"There is mounting pressure from the opposition to move towards a caretaker government that also serves its interests. The opposition, which is not sure to win in any upcoming election, wants Farmaajo removed from the top post." Shariif wants to replace Farmaajo without election.
is mounting the current uprising the beginning?
I hope not but now it dependent on what opposition do. Election must happen soon, otherwise we are in big trouble
Indeed Farmaajo shot himself in the foot. He knew the game played against him but did not take decisive action by signing what Deni was asking him to sign.
This what is in stake
1) some Foreigners also wants Farmaajo removed any price
2) No Election
3) IC donations will completely be stopped, it will effect even humanitarian part.
4)Moqdisho new road blocks will likely to stay, it will hard to remove now. It took years to remove
5) Amizon will continue stay without doing nothing
5) Terrorist will regain foot hold
6) Jubaland tribal war sooner rather later