Lets try some math:
Eritrea is anti-Turkish: Afwerki spoke clearly during the Suakin Turkish plans and accused them of supporting Moslems (that card is still useful there) and he is 100% under America, Saudi, Egypt and UAE.
Do you agree with those facts?
PM Abiy is now fully anti-Turkish. So much so the Turkish projects in Afar, Tigray are on hold. He is under America, UAE and to some degree Saudi. So much so the almost complete GERD is being delayed under various invalid reasons.
Farmaajo totally relies on Ethiopia and Eritrea. Only exception is Uganda since Uganda now has more power and support in Mugadishu than Farmaajo himself. Business, security, military connections.
What gives? Can you square the circle?
When ever Farmaajo is scared out of his wits he makes a trip to Djibouti after getting permission from Abiy and Afwerki.
You are here telling us that Farmaajo is so smart, so powerful, so brave to navigate the Arab Sands as well as the Regional mud, and on top of that the Turkish and American undeclared tussle.