Hello Suldaanka,
You don't need all that historical analysis.
Me thinks the reason is simple:
Afwerki and Bixi have been instructed by UAE. What the instructions are will be seen in few days.
One thing I am confident of Somaliland is no matter what has never thrown a fellow Somali under the bus and if they have to they always warn a brother first like with ONLF.
Somaliland is an exception to the prevailing situation where enclaves are throwing each other under this or that bus.
Somaliland has never done any wrong to fellow Somalis by siding with non Somalis whether with Tigray Ethiopia, Oromo Ethiopia, Djibouti for or against.....
Of all Somali enclaves Somaliland is the least to be played by Afwerki and he knows it.